The Boston Celtics are 2.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Miami Heat at FTX Arena on Saturday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on TNT. The Heat lead the series 3-2. The matchup's over/under is set at 209.5.

Celtics vs. Heat Odds & Info

  • When: Saturday, May 27, 2023 at 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: FTX Arena in Miami, Florida
  • TV: TNT
Favorite Spread Over/Under
Celtics -2.5 209.5

Check out the latest NBA odds and place your bets on this matchup with BetMGM Sportsbook.

Celtics Betting Records & Stats

  • In 68 of 82 games this season, Boston and its opponents have gone over 209.5 points.
  • Boston's games this year have an average total of 229.4, 19.9 more points than this matchup's over/under.
  • The Celtics' ATS record is 45-37-0 this season.
  • Boston has been the favorite in 73 games this season and won 52 (71.2%) of those contests.
  • This season, Boston has won 47 of its 66 games, or 71.2%, when favored by at least -140 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.3% chance of a victory for the Celtics.

Heat Betting Records & Stats

  • Miami has combined with its opponent to score more than 209.5 points in 63 of 82 games this season.
  • Miami has a 219.3-point average over/under in its contests this season, 9.8 more points than this game's total.
  • Miami has a 30-52-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Heat have been underdogs in 23 games this season and have come away with the win seven times (30.4%) in those contests.
  • This season, Miami has won six of its 17 games, or 35.3%, when it is the underdog by at least +115 on the moneyline.
  • Miami has an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Celtics vs Heat Additional Info

Celtics vs. Heat Over/Under Stats (Regular Season)

Games Over 209.5 % of Games Over 209.5 Average PPG Combined Average PPG Average Opponent PPG Combined Average Opponent PPG Average Total
Celtics 68 82.9% 117.9 227.4 111.4 221.2 227.8
Heat 63 76.8% 109.5 227.4 109.8 221.2 219.6

Additional Celtics Insights & Trends

  • The Celtics have gone 5-5 over their last 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread during that span.
  • The Celtics have hit the over in six of their last 10 games.
  • Against the spread, Boston has fared better when playing at home, covering 23 times in 41 home games, and 22 times in 41 road games.
  • The Celtics score 8.1 more points per game (117.9) than the Heat allow (109.8).
  • Boston is 40-21 against the spread and 49-12 overall when scoring more than 109.8 points.

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Additional Heat Insights & Trends

  • Miami has a 6-4 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall over its past 10 contests.
  • The Heat have hit the over in six of their last 10 games.
  • In 2022-23 against the spread, Miami has a lower winning percentage at home (.341, 14-27-0 record) than on the road (.390, 16-25-0).
  • The Heat put up an average of 109.5 points per game, just 1.9 fewer points than the 111.4 the Celtics allow.
  • Miami has put together a 17-17 ATS record and a 26-8 overall record in games it scores more than 111.4 points.

Celtics vs. Heat Betting Splits

Celtics and Heat Betting Information
ATS Record ATS Record Against 2.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Celtics 45-37 34-35 43-39
Heat 30-52 10-10 41-41

Celtics vs. Heat Point Insights

Celtics Heat
117.9
Points Scored (PG)
 109.5
4
NBA Rank (PPG)
 30
40-21
ATS Record Scoring AVG+
 17-17
49-12
Overall Record Scoring AVG+
 26-8
111.4
Points Allowed (PG)
 109.8
4
NBA Rank (PAPG)
 2
28-8
ATS Record Allowing < AVG
 26-39
31-5
Overall Record Allowing < AVG
 39-26

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