First Alert: Coastal storm brings rain likely and wind this weekend

We’re tracking an area of low pressure moving up the east coast
We’re tracking an area of low pressure moving up the east coast
Published: Sep. 18, 2023 at 1:49 PM EDT|Updated: 5 hours ago
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RICHMOND, Va. (WWBT) - Rain likely and gusty winds are set to move into central and eastern Virginia Friday evening through Sunday morning.

The setup: A nontropical area of low pressure will likely develop off the coast of the southeastern U.S. late this week. This system could acquire some subtropical characteristics this weekend while it moves north. The National Hurricane Center has highlighted that area with a 40% (low) chance for tropical development in the next five days. Regardless of development, rain and wind could impact your weekend plans. Regardless if this storm acquires a name, the impacts will remain the same.

Timing: Friday evening through Sunday morning. At this point, rain and wind pick up by Friday evening. Steady rain with heavier downpours possible during the day Saturday. Mainly light rain off and on Saturday evening into Sunday morning. Occasional rain showers begin to taper Sunday morning. By Sunday afternoon we look mainly dry.

Impacts: Winds pick up Friday afternoon out of the NE 10-15mph with gusts 20-25mph. Stronger winds likely along the Chesapeake. The Northern Neck and Middle Peninsula could see gale force winds (40-45 mph). Gusty winds could cause isolated power outages. Rain totals could be anywhere between 2 to 4 inches for our far eastern counties towards the coast. Along and west of I-95, we’re forecasting 1 to 2 inches, with lesser totals expected towards our far western counties. Consistent rain and heavy downpours could cause low-lying and poor drainage flooding, especially in our more urban areas.

Here is a look at the rain potential for the next 7 days:

Closer to the bay, see higher rain totals near 4 inches possible. Along and west of I-95 we’re...
Closer to the bay, see higher rain totals near 4 inches possible. Along and west of I-95 we’re forecasting 1 to 2 inches. Consistent rain and some heavy downpours could cause low-lying and poor drainage flooding, especially in our more urban areas.(nbc12)

Here is a look at potential wind gusts:

Gusty winds out of the northeast 20-30 mph. Stronger winds are possible along the Chesapeake....
Gusty winds out of the northeast 20-30 mph. Stronger winds are possible along the Chesapeake. The Northern Neck and Middle Peninsula could see gale force winds (40-45 mph).(nbc12)

Thunderstorms aren’t likely but with Friday night and Saturday looking like a washout, you may want to change any outdoor plans if possible.

For updates on this weekend’s heavy rain potential, download the NBC12 First Alert Weather app. You can find the app in the Apple Store and on Google Play.

The NBC12 First Alert weather app features updated video forecasts throughout the day, an hour-by-hour forecast, severe weather alerts and much more.

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