Where’s the snow? Snow drought continues for Central Virginia

There has hardly been any snow in Richmond for the last two years

Snow drought continues

RICHMOND, Va. (WWBT) - Snow lovers in Central Virginia have been wondering: where’s the snow?

Its been more than two years since the last time Richmond saw significant accumulating snow. So far in the 2020/2021 winter season, we have only picked up 1 inch of snow in Richmond (on December 7, 2020).

In the entire 2019/2020 winter season, we only saw 1.5 inches of snow. The last time we had a significant snowfall in Central Virginia was December 9, 2018 when RIC received 11.5 inches of snow (that actually went down as the 12th biggest snowfall ever recorded in Richmond).

The average amount of snow each winter in Richmond based on historical data is 10.3 inches of snow, so we’re running well below that last winter and this winter.

Its been more than two years since the last time Central Virginia had a significant snowfall (December 9, 2018).
Its been more than two years since the last time Central Virginia had a significant snowfall (December 9, 2018). (Source: WWBT)

To get significant snow in Central Virginia, we typically need an area of low pressure passing just southeast of the commonwealth and enough cold air north of the low pressure to overlap with the moisture. Last winter and so far this winter, things have not lined up for us to get significant snow.

Mid-January is typically the coldest time of the year in Central Virginia. That means it slowly starts turning warmer from late January through February and March. In other words, the clock is ticking on our chance to see more snow this winter.

After mild temperatures the next several days, there are signs of wintry weather potential early next week. In fact, the most recent run of the GFS (American) forecast model does hint at potential for a little snow changing to a mix/rain on MLK day. Accumulations on the GFS model are minimal with only a coating or so. Right now, I would say our chance for snow early next week is LOW (only around 20%).

There is a low chance for a little wintry weather early next week.
There is a low chance for a little wintry weather early next week. (Source: WWBT)

There may be additional chances for snow later in January as colder air moves south out of Canada, but it’s too early to know the timing or specific details. Download the NBC12 First Alert Weather app for updates on the potential for wintry weather.

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