Virginia Winter Preview: Temperatures could trend above average

With roughly two months left of fall, the latest outlook already has eyes on a warmer than average winter season

Temperatures could trend above average this winter

RICHMOND, Va. (WWBT) - The month of September (specifically the last half) brought Virginia much cooler temperatures even before the official start to fall. That cooler trend was a great sneak peek at the month of October which has been full of dry, crisp autumn days. Now, we are headed into what may be considered Virginia’s most beautiful time of year as fall foliage is expected to reach its peak in the coming weeks.

Currently, Virginia is seeing a huge cooldown. A cold front is working its way across the East Coast right now and will drop our temps this weekend.

Friday's cold front will drop our temperatures considerably for this weekend.
Friday's cold front will drop our temperatures considerably for this weekend. (Source: WWBT)

Jumping ahead, the Climate Prediction Center has given us a preview of what to expect temperature-wise from December 2020 to February 2021.

NOAA predicts a warmer than normal trend for the East Coast in the coming months.
NOAA predicts a warmer than normal trend for the East Coast in the coming months. (Source: CPC)

For us here in Virginia, we have about a 33% chance of seeing above-average temperatures- this means we could see a fairly seasonable winter with the exception of some outlying weeks/days.

The southern two-thirds of the US has the highest probability of seeing above-average temperatures, whereas below-average temperatures are most likely to be recorded for those in the Northern Plains.

As far as a white Christmas goes, a consistent decrease in sea surface temperatures closer to the equator signaled the development of a La Niña back in August... which is typically bad news for snow lovers. Unfortunately, NOAA’s latest outlook does indeed drive home the likelihood of a slightly warmer winter. This is not to say we definitely won’t see any snow, it’s just a presentation of possible climatological trends our area could experience.

NOAA also predicts relatively normal rainfall amounts for the Commonwealth this coming winter.

As winter approaches, the First Alert Weather Team has you covered! The best way to stay up to date on any changes in the forecast is through the NBC12 Weather App.

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