First Alert Weather Day: Severe risk drops for Central Virginia

Severe weather threat lessens due to cloud cover

RICHMOND, Va. (WWBT) - Tuesday is a First Alert Weather Day because of the potential for strong to severe storms - but that threat has been reduced for all of Central Virginia.

The Storm Prediction Center has downgraded the risk for all of the NBC12 viewing area because abundant clouds and light rain showers limited the available instability (fuel) for thunderstorms.

The City of Richmond points north and west has been dropped from an Enhanced (3 out of 5) to a Marginal risk (1 out of 5).

There is still a slight risk (2 out of 5) south and east of Richmond. You can see the changes on the updated risk map.

The outlook for severe storms has been reduced substantially for areas north of Richmond with a slight risk south of RVA.
The outlook for severe storms has been reduced substantially for areas north of Richmond with a slight risk south of RVA.

The most likely time to see storms will be 2 p.m. to 6 p.m. Tuesday. A few strong storms could try to develop between 6 p.m. and 10 p.m. too.

The threat has lead to schools in the city of Richmond to cancel activities after 3 p.m.

Our main concern with any storms that do develop will be damaging wind gusts, frequent lightning, and downpours. An isolated tornado can not be ruled out either, but this threat has also dropped with the newest information.

Below is a an early evening model forecast at 6 p.m. The strongest storms will be confined to far southern Virginia.

Storms are most likely south of Petersburg later this afternoon.
Storms are most likely south of Petersburg later this afternoon.

Be sure to have a way to get notifications. The NBC12 First Alert Weather app is a great tool to have through the day today. Make sure your volume is turned up so that you can hear any notifications!

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