We are getting a better idea of just how close the race for president is in the Commonwealth of Virginia. NBC12 partnered with Suffolk University to conduct a poll on the election.
Most swing state polls show President Barack Obama opening up a sizable lead, but here in Virginia the race is a virtual tie.
In Ohio, Florida and Colorado polls show President Obama taking control. But a new Suffolk University/ NBC12 poll shows that is not the case in Virginia.
In our poll President Obama is holding on to a slim 2 point lead. Roughly 7% of Virginia voters are still undecided and pollster David Paleologos believes the president still has work to do.
"I can tell you with a high degree of confidence this is a close race, this is not a landslide for Barack Obama," he said.
But the news for Mitt Romney is not all good.
Votes still like President Obama more than they do the republican nominee. More than 52% view Obama favorably, while only 42% feel that way about Romney. More voters have a negative opinion of Romney than a positive one.
According to Paleogolos, being liked has never been the president's problem.
"People are saying they like Barack Obama more than Mitt Romney," he explained.
It is Obama's work as president that some aren't comfortable with. In fact 48% of the respondents in this poll disapprove of the way obama is doing his job. Only 46% believe he is doing a good job.
Things are even tighter in the race for U.S. Senate.
Our numbers show Tim Kaine and George Allen locked at 44% each.
The favorability numbers for the two former governors is roughly the same, both in the 40% range.
Palegolos believes both races could come down to turnout.
"Anybody can win this state, and there is not going to be a landslide win in either race," he said. "Either the U.S. Senate race or the Presidential race."
Roughly one month to go, and this campaign is still too close to call.
And right now it looks like third party candidates will have no impact on the outcome of this race. Virgil Goode who could threaten some of Mitt Romney's conservative support registers less than 1 percentage point.
You can see this entire poll, and extended clips from our pollster David Paleologos on DecisionVirginia.com.